Deutsche Welle, 21 April 2014
Shut-down
of the reactor at Yongbyon indicates that Pyongyang is having trouble cooling
the plutonium production plant and that a failure in the cooling system could
trigger 'the release of radioactivity.'
Atomic
energy experts are expressing concern over the problems that North Korea
appears to be experiencing at its Yongbyon Nuclear Scientific Research Center,
which has been reportedly shut down earlier this year when the supply of
cooling water from a nearby river was halted.
Analysis of
satellite images by the US-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins University,
released on the 38 North website, suggest that extensive rainfall and flooding
in July 2013 dramatically altered the course of the Kuryong River away from the
facility and may have filled collection cisterns and ponds with sand or river
silt, as well as destroying pipes to deliver the cooling water to the reactor.
Images show
that steam was released from the turbine building in February, suggesting that
the turbines had been halted down ahead of the reactor shutdown, while snow had
collected on the normally warm roof of the reactor building.
North
Korean engineers were quickly called in to carry out excavations and the
construction of a new dam, the institute confirmed, but the repairs appear to
be insubstantial.
Short-term
fixes
"Despite
these short-term fixes, the danger posed by an unreliable supply of water for
the Yongbyon reactors remains, particularly since the channels and dam
constructed are made from sand and could be washed away by future floods,"
the US-Korea Institute warned. In the event that the secondary cooling system
for the five megawatt reactor was to fail, it added, the result would be a fire
in the graphite core and the release of radioactivity into the surrounding
environment.
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There has been no reaction from Pyongyang to the international concerns |
"Pyongyang
has no such experience operating the new facility, the first indigenously built
reactor of its kind in North Korea," the institute pointed out. "The
rapid loss of water used to cool the reactor would result in a serious safety
problem."
There has
been no reaction from the North Korean government to the analysis, although the
concerns that are raised ring true to those monitoring the regime and its
activities.
"I
have talked to officials and experts from other countries who have been to
Yongbyon and they told me they were just nervous to be there," Daniel
Pinkston, a North Korea analyst with The International Crisis Group in Seoul,
told DW.
Little
attention to safety
"North
Korea is not famous for its labor standards or its attention to safety, and it
is all pretty shoddy," Pinkston said. "And once it has been built,
the same sort of technology conflicts will be in play, with safety standards at
Yongbyon unlikely to be anywhere near as stringent as they would be in the rest
of the world."
And if a
disaster such as that which struck Japan's Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant in
March 2011 can happen in a heavily regulated and closely monitored atomic
energy sector, it is hard to imagine the potential impact of an accident at
Yongbyon, he added.
"This
is absolutely cause for concern," Pinkston added. "Made worse by the
fact that there is no monitoring by the [International Atomic Energy Agency], no
international assistance to the nuclear sector, no transparency in what they
are doing there, no oversight and very little likelihood they are operating
according to international safety standards."
Developments
at the site are being monitored by the South Korean authorities, which would be
the neighboring country that would bear the brunt of any leak of radioactivity.
In her
speech to the recent Nuclear Security Summit in The Hague, South Korean
President Park Guen-hye stated that a nuclear accident at Yongbyon could cause
more devastation than the meltdown of the reactor at Chernobyl in 1986.
'Worse than
Chernobyl'
And while
analysts say that is unlikely, given the relatively small scale of the reactor
in North Korea, it would cause serious concerns in north-east Asia, trigger
panic in local populations, and heighten already elevated military tensions.
"Ideally,
North Korea would be willing to open the plant to international observers and
accept advice and help with running the facility, but that is clearly not going
to happen," Go Ito, a professor of international relations at Tokyo's
Meiji University, told DW.
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Park Guen-hye fears a nuclear accident at Yongbyon could be a huge disaster |
There is
also evidence that the people of North Korea themselves are increasingly aware
of the danger posed to their health by the regime's commitment to developing
both nuclear energy and atomic weapons.
A study of
defectors carried out by the UK North Korean Residents Association showed that
while Pyongyang insists that the people are firmly behind its development of a
nuclear capability, the truth is very different.
Defectors
say they fear wells they used for drinking water have been contaminated with
radioactivity.
"Which
ordinary North Korean would oppose the idea of using the vast sums of money
spent on nuclear tests to resolve their food shortages?" asked author Kim
Joo-il, secretary general of the organization. "Who would ever welcome the
spread of birth deformities and a host of other diseases caused by radiation
exposure?"
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