Yahoo – AFP,
September 2, 2018
 |
As the pace of global warming races ahead of efforts to tame it, diplomats from more
than 190 nations begin crunch UN climate talks in Bangkok Tuesday to breathe life
into the Paris Agreement. (AFP Photo/JOEL SAGET)
|
Paris (AFP)
- As the pace of global warming races ahead of efforts to tame it, diplomats
from more than 190 nations begin crunch UN climate talks in Bangkok Tuesday to
breathe life into the Paris Agreement.
This year
is the deadline to finalise the "rule book" for the 2015 treaty,
which calls for capping the rise in global temperatures at "well below"
two degrees Celsius, and 1.5 C if possible.
The pact
also promises $100 billion annually from 2020 to poor nations already coping
with floods, heatwaves, rising seas and superstorms made worse by climate
change.
"The
Paris Agreement was like a letter of intent," said Michael Oppenheimer, a
professor of geosciences and international affairs at Princeton University.
Unless
detailed rules of implementation covering dozens of contentious and unresolved
issues are agreed upon, he and other experts said, the landmark treaty could
run aground.
Lamenting
"uneven progress" to date, co-chairs of UN talks last month urged
rank-and-file negotiators to produce "clear and streamlined options"
that ministers and heads of state can push across the finish line at the
December UN climate summit in Poland.
"If
Parties do not achieve this in Bangkok, a satisfactory outcome in Katowice will
be in jeopardy," they wrote in the unusual appeal.
The most
persistent sticking points in the UN talks revolve around money.
Developing
countries favour outright grants from public sources, demand visibility on how
donor nations intend to scale up this largesse, and object to under-investment
in adapting to climate impacts.
Rich
countries want more private capital in the mix, prefer projects with profit
potential, and have been reluctant to make hard-and-fast long-term commitments.
This
tension flared spectacularly in July when the UN's flagship climate finance
initiative, the Green Climate Fund, suffered a boardroom meltdown after members
could not agree on funding priorities.
Symptom
and cause
The
executive director quit, and the paralysed fund -- hampered by US President
Donald Trump's refusal to honour a US $2 billion pledge -- is facing a cash
crunch.
The Fund's
woes are both symptom and cause, and will complicate the broader talks on
finance, experts say.
An even
more daunting -- and arguably urgent -- task facing diplomats in Bangkok and
Katowice is ratcheting up voluntary national commitments to cut planet-warming
greenhouse gas emissions.
Taken
together, current pledges would allow average global temperatures to climb more
than 3 C (5.4 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels. The mercury has
gone up 1 C so far.
Under the
Paris accord, countries are not required to revisit these commitments until
2023.
But waiting
that long could doom the planet to runaway global warming, scientists warn in a
UN special report obtained by AFP, to be officially unveiled in October.
"The
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 1.5 C report will show the
need for increased ambition if we want to have a functional human civilisation
in the future," said Wael Hmaidan, executive director of Climate Action
Network, which groups hundreds of climate NGOs.
Debilitating
heatwaves and deadly fires across the northern hemisphere this summer may be a
mild foretaste of what a climate addled future would look like.
"We
need to see announcements of increased ambition from some of the big countries
that put out 2030 commitments -- China, India, Brazil, the European Union,
Japan," said Alden Meyer, policy and strategy director for the Union of
Concerned Scientists in Washington.
Bottleneck is governments
A handful
of nations, including the United States, submitted plans running out to 2025.
Meanwhile,
dozens of developing countries in the Climate Vulnerable Forum, an informal
bloc, are announcing ambitious timetables for energy sectors run entirely with
renewables.
"They
are saying, 'if we -- the poorest, most climate impacted countries in the world
-- are able to be in line with the 1.5 C goal, there is no excuse for bigger,
richer countries not to do the same'," said Hmaidan.
Sub-national
governments, regions, cities and businesses gathering in San Francisco in
mid-September at the Global Climate Action Summit are also poised to unveil
initiatives and commitments to speed the transition to a low- or no-carbon
global economy.
But the
full-throttle response needed tackle global warming has yet to materialise, as
each sector looks to the other to take the lead.
"Businesses
are looking to countries to build on the commitments they made in Paris,"
said Jennifer Austin, policy director for We Mean Business.
"Strong,
clear policies are what give businesses clarity and confidence."
At the same
time, even nations instrumental in forging the Paris pact have failed to
redouble their efforts, said Hmaidan.
"The
bottleneck for a real transformation is political will at the national level --
heads of state," he said.
France's
environment minister Nicolas Hulot quit his post suddenly last week, citing
among other reasons lack of progress on climate change.